BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Bowling Green 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Bowling Green 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.27 |
24.57 (-0.70) |
21.60 |
23.05 (+1.45) |
23.62 (+0.57) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.82 |
282.93 (-26.88) |
339.00 |
358.58 (+19.58) |
330.21 (-28.37) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.21 |
4.76 (-0.44) |
5.39 |
5.73 (+0.34) |
5.37 (-0.36) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
25.87 (+1.60) |
25.40 |
28.57 (+3.17) |
27.56 (-1.01) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.73 |
374.12 (+53.40) |
356.20 |
370.59 (+14.39) |
371.91 (+1.32) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.43 |
6.07 (+0.64) |
5.74 |
6.00 (+0.26) |
6.03 (+0.03) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Fordham |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-17 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Penn State |
11.72 |
40.02 |
+28.31 |
51.74 |
4.60% |
L 27-34 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Texas A&M |
12.84 |
40.64 |
+27.80 |
53.48 |
5.42% |
L 20-26 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Old Dominion |
26.52 |
24.17 |
-2.35 |
50.69 |
53.77% |
L 27-30 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Akron |
37.49 |
14.61 |
-22.88 |
52.10 |
86.69% |
W 27-20 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Northern Illinois |
22.26 |
20.23 |
-2.03 |
42.49 |
53.26% |
L 7-17 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Kent State |
47.90 |
14.75 |
-33.16 |
62.65 |
99.90% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Toledo |
27.81 |
36.22 |
+8.41 |
64.03 |
36.51% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-05 |
@Central Michigan |
33.43 |
19.14 |
-14.29 |
52.58 |
72.92% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-12 |
Western Michigan |
35.10 |
20.78 |
-14.32 |
55.88 |
72.97% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Ball State |
36.77 |
15.80 |
-20.97 |
52.56 |
83.64% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Miami (OH) |
20.42 |
17.80 |
-2.62 |
38.22 |
54.21% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
0.37% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
4.38% |
0.37% |
99.63% |
| 5-7 |
18.79% |
4.74% |
95.26% |
| 6-6 |
36.55% |
23.54% |
76.46% |
| 7-5 |
31.09% |
60.09% |
39.91% |
| 8-4 |
8.83% |
91.17% |
8.83% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.21% |
| 4-8 |
1.68% |
| 5-7 |
7.30% |
| 6-6 |
18.80% |
| 7-5 |
28.84% |
| 8-4 |
26.35% |
| 9-3 |
13.43% |
| 10-2 |
3.16% |
| 11-1 |
0.21% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |