BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024
Category | 2023 Raw | 2024 Raw | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|
Points Per Game (PPG) | 26.70 | 26.76 | 26.76 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) | 379.93 | 377.68 | 377.68 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) | 5.70 | 5.71 | 5.71 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 25.27 | 24.57 (-0.70) | 25.45 | 22.34 (-3.12) | 22.34 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 309.82 | 282.93 (-26.88) | 358.91 | 332.36 (-26.55) | 332.36 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 5.21 | 4.76 (-0.44) | 5.60 | 5.36 (-0.24) | 5.36 (+0.00) |
Category | 2023 Raw | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Raw | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) | 2024 Blended (Δ) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 24.27 | 25.87 (+1.60) | 20.55 | 23.24 (+2.70) | 23.24 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 320.73 | 374.12 (+53.40) | 323.09 | 349.49 (+26.40) | 349.49 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 5.43 | 6.07 (+0.64) | 5.28 | 5.53 (+0.25) | 5.53 (+0.00) |
Category | Measure(s) |
---|---|
Home Field Advantage | +1.5 |
Date | Opponent | BizMa Points For | BizMa Points Against | BizMa Spread | BizMa O/U | BizMa Win % | Real Outcome | Team Record |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-08-29 | Fordham | Non-FBS Opponent | W 41-17 | 1-0 | ||||
2024-09-07 | @Penn State | 14.42 | 33.26 | +18.83 | 47.68 | 19.79% | L 27-34 | 1-1 |
2024-09-21 | @Texas A&M | 16.81 | 30.43 | +13.62 | 47.23 | 28.15% | L 20-26 | 1-2 |
2024-09-28 | Old Dominion | 22.88 | 24.45 | +1.57 | 47.33 | 47.49% | L 27-30 | 1-3 |
2024-10-05 | @Akron | 29.33 | 16.45 | -12.88 | 45.79 | 70.66% | W 27-20 | 2-3 |
2024-10-12 | Northern Illinois | 17.29 | 14.12 | -3.17 | 31.42 | 55.08% | L 7-17 | 2-4 |
2024-10-19 | Kent State | 43.11 | 9.10 | -34.01 | 52.21 | 99.90% | W 27-6 | 3-4 |
2024-10-26 | @Toledo | 22.82 | 24.66 | +1.84 | 47.48 | 47.05% | W 41-26 | 4-4 |
2024-11-06 | @Central Michigan | 29.26 | 15.54 | -13.72 | 44.80 | 72.01% | W 23-13 | 5-4 |
2024-11-13 | Western Michigan | 31.18 | 20.22 | -10.96 | 51.41 | 67.58% | W 31-13 | 6-4 |
2024-11-23 | @Ball State | 36.72 | 20.29 | -16.44 | 57.01 | 76.36% | W 38-13 | 7-4 |
2024-11-29 | Miami (OH) | 18.67 | 16.23 | -2.44 | 34.90 | 53.91% | L 12-28 | 7-5 |
2024-12-27 | Arkansas State | 30.08 | 17.82 | -12.27 | 47.90 | 69.68% | n/a | n/a |
Record | Probability | Ceiling | Floor |
---|---|---|---|
7-6 | 30.48% | 0.00% | 100.00% |
8-5 | 69.52% | 30.48% | 69.52% |
Record | Probability |
---|---|
2-11 | 0.01% |
3-10 | 0.12% |
4-9 | 0.82% |
5-8 | 3.81% |
6-7 | 10.51% |
7-6 | 20.08% |
8-5 | 25.11% |
9-4 | 21.89% |
10-3 | 12.27% |
11-2 | 4.44% |
12-1 | 0.88% |
13-0 | 0.07% |