BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Bowling Green 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Bowling Green 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.27 |
24.57 (-0.70) |
25.56 |
22.55 (-3.00) |
22.55 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.82 |
282.93 (-26.88) |
369.44 |
344.85 (-24.59) |
344.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.21 |
4.76 (-0.44) |
5.84 |
5.67 (-0.17) |
5.67 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
25.87 (+1.60) |
20.56 |
22.59 (+2.04) |
22.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.73 |
374.12 (+53.40) |
325.33 |
348.09 (+22.76) |
348.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.43 |
6.07 (+0.64) |
5.25 |
5.47 (+0.22) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Fordham |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-17 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Penn State |
12.10 |
31.49 |
+19.38 |
43.59 |
18.91% |
L 27-34 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Texas A&M |
15.60 |
29.33 |
+13.73 |
44.93 |
27.97% |
L 20-26 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Old Dominion |
21.04 |
22.06 |
+1.02 |
43.10 |
48.36% |
L 27-30 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Akron |
32.17 |
14.77 |
-17.40 |
46.95 |
77.91% |
W 27-20 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Northern Illinois |
16.80 |
13.31 |
-3.49 |
30.11 |
55.59% |
L 7-17 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Kent State |
44.23 |
10.07 |
-34.16 |
54.30 |
99.90% |
W 27-6 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Toledo |
23.11 |
26.94 |
+3.83 |
50.05 |
43.86% |
W 41-26 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-06 |
@Central Michigan |
32.24 |
15.56 |
-16.68 |
47.80 |
76.76% |
W 23-13 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Western Michigan |
34.26 |
21.71 |
-12.54 |
55.97 |
70.12% |
W 31-13 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Ball State |
36.91 |
19.27 |
-17.64 |
56.18 |
78.29% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
Miami (OH) |
18.49 |
15.31 |
-3.18 |
33.80 |
55.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
9.86% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 7-5 |
47.15% |
9.86% |
90.14% |
| 8-4 |
42.99% |
57.01% |
42.99% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.22% |
| 4-8 |
1.51% |
| 5-7 |
6.17% |
| 6-6 |
15.69% |
| 7-5 |
25.17% |
| 8-4 |
26.04% |
| 9-3 |
16.96% |
| 10-2 |
6.76% |
| 11-1 |
1.37% |
| 12-0 |
0.11% |